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GPT-5 to Achieve 'Ph.D.-Level' Intelligence by 2026

GPT-5 to Achieve 'Ph.D.-Level' Intelligence by 2026

Alicia Shapiro
June 24, 2024 • Estimated Reading Time: 3 minutes

A futuristic representation of GPT-5 with 'Ph.D.-level' intelligence. The image features a digital brain symbolizing advanced AI capabilities, with academic elements like a graduation cap and a diploma. The background includes neural networks and data streams, highlighting the AI's learning and reasoning abilities. The color scheme is modern and tech-oriented, emphasizing innovation and the leap from high-school to Ph.D.-level intelligence

GPT-5 to Achieve 'Ph.D.-Level' Intelligence by 2026

The highly anticipated next evolution of ChatGPT, known as GPT-5, is projected to achieve 'Ph.D.-level' intelligence, according to OpenAI Chief Technology Officer Mira Murati. In an interview with Dartmouth Engineering, Murati compared the leap from GPT-4 to GPT-5 to advancing from high school to university-level intelligence.

Significant Advancements

Murati described previous versions, such as GPT-3, as having "toddler-level" intelligence, while GPT-4 was likened to a "smart high-schooler." She anticipates GPT-5 will reach "Ph.D.-level" intelligence for specific tasks within the next couple of years, marking a substantial improvement in AI capabilities.

A screenshot of a tweet by user @tsarnick featuring a video of Mira Murati. The tweet reads, "Mira Murati: GPT-3 was toddler-level, GPT-4 was a smart high schooler and the next gen, to be released in a year and a half, will be PhD-level." Mira Murati is seen sitting and speaking in the video. The tweet shows it has 1.4K likes, 257 replies, and options to reply, share, and view more details

Image source: X.com

Projected Timeline

Despite earlier rumors suggesting a 2023 release, Murati clarified that GPT-5 is expected to debut in late 2025 or early 2026. This extended timeline may disappoint those who were expecting a sooner release, but the advancements promised are significant.

Capabilities and Expectations

The enhanced intelligence of GPT-5 is expected to enable the AI to perform at a level capable of passing Ph.D. exams, particularly in tasks requiring advanced memory and reasoning. Microsoft CTO Kevin Scott has also highlighted these capabilities, noting the next-gen AI's potential.

Task-Specific Intelligence

Murati emphasized that the "Ph.D.-level" intelligence of GPT-5 will apply to certain tasks, acknowledging that while current systems can match human-level performance in specific areas, they still fall short in many others.

Previous Rumors and Developments

Initial speculation about GPT-5's release suggested it would arrive in late 2023, which was later adjusted to a potential summer 2024 launch. However, the summer release turned out to be GPT-4o, an impressive update but not the transformative leap anticipated with GPT-5.

As development continues, the AI community remains eager to see the advancements GPT-5 will bring, particularly in its ability to handle complex, Ph.D.-level tasks with greater accuracy and efficiency.